Government tax breaks are bringing good results for state budget income, but may be putting the economy in a very weak position, according to new data released by the National Statistics Committee.
The government reduced the highest tax rates last year, making Mongolia one of the lowest-taxing nations in Asia.
Over 30 taxes were reduced, including the Value Added Tax (VAT), which
was lowered 0.5 points. In January, the government also reduced the
Social Insurance Premium 10 points and introduced a Tax Amnesty, hoping
to influence the hidden economy and reduce the non-tax revenue.
The National Statistics Committee’s report revealed that despite the tax cuts, tax revenue still increased 65.5 percent.
Compared to the previous year, taxes on foreign trade increased by 20.7
percent, VAT increased by 13.9 percent and excise tax increased by 25.6
percent.
Non-tax revenue dropped dramatically, however, decreasing 47.7 percent to Tg36.7.
The government’s overall budget amounted to Tg175.4 billion, with total
expenditure and net lending of Tg137 billion, leaving a surplus of
Tg38.4 billion.
According to preliminary figures from a Bank of Mongolia report, money
supply is reaching Tg2337 billion, an increase of 50.2 percent compared
to January 2007.
At the end of January, there was Tg338 billion in circulation, up 50.7 percent compared to the same period in 2007.
Mongol Bank explained that money supply suddenly grew in the last month of the quarter, despite otherwise being lower.
The increased supply of money has been due to government expenditure on social purposes, such as increased wages and pensions.
In particular, there has been a dramatic increase in child allowances
and allowances for newly-wed couples. State employees were also given
increased wages and salaries in the first and fourth quarter of 2007.
Of the whole annual budget expenditure, 50.4 percent, or Tg881.9 billion, was distributed in the final quarter.
The government is facing re-election in the first half of this year.
Mongol Bank said that over the past three years, total deposits and
total loans have increased by 56.3 percent, 50.9 percent and 68.1
percent respectively.
Expansionary fiscal policy continued over this period, with higher civil servant salaries and increased social care handouts.
Inflation in neighboring countries and trade partners has also
continued to climb, which, when combined with the higher prices for
crude oil and some food items, placed high stress on the inflation rate.
Mongol Bank’s inflation measurements had it at 15.1 percent in December
2007, but in the year to January has it at 17.5 percent.
The inflation rate rose another two points in January of this year,
despite the government establishing a council to stabilize consumer
prices.
Prices of food and nonalcoholic beverages increased by four percent
and, with prices of transport and education remaining stable in
January, was a major contributor to the increase in the overall index.
While exports increased 52.7 percent during this time, imports also increased 87.2 percent.
B.Badamtsetseg, Head of the Macro Economic Department of the National
Statistics’ Committee, said that for the first two months of this year
the exports benefit reached US$36.4 million, down more than US$20
million compared to the previous years.
According to the statistics, mineral exports accounted for the largest
percentage of exports, reaching US$29.7 million. Natural or cultured
pearls, precious metal and jewelry reached Tg26.8 million, while
textiles and textile articles decreased by US$2.8 million.
Base metals and articles exports rose by US$2.2 million. Live animals
and animal products reached US$1.1 million. Raw and processed hides,
skins, fur and similar articles accounted for US$0.5 million.
The volume of copper concentrate exports increased 2.7 percent and
their value in US dollars increased 16.5 percent compared with the same
period of the previous year.
In January 2007, the average price of copper concentrate per ton was
US$1127.7. this year, however, it was US$1280, a jump of 13.5 percent.
Compared with the same period of the previous year, mineral products
imports, which are comprised high percentage in the imports, increased
by US$23.0 million. Imports of auto, air and water transport vehicles
and their spare parts increased by US$22.3 million.
Imports of machinery, electrical appliances and spare parts was worth US$12.2 million.
Mongolia also imported US$10.6 million of vegetable origin products
imports, US$4.3 million in food products, US$3.1 million in base metals
and articles thereof and US$2.6 million of chemicals.
Textiles and textile article imports decreased by US$0.6 million, however, compared with the same period of the previous year.
Petrol imports increased by US$ 6.3 million. Cars increased US$ 4.5
million, flour rose US$7.0 million, while electricity imports decreased
by US$ 0.1 million.
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